CRISMA

Modelling crisis management for improved action and preparedness

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 Obiettivo del progetto (Objective)

'The CRISMA project shall develop a simulation-based decision support system (Integrated Crisis Management System - ICMS), for modelling crisis management, improved action and preparedness. The ICMS shall facilitate simulation and modelling of realistic crisis scenarios, possible response actions, and the impacts of crisis depending on both the external factors driving the crisis development and the various actions of the crisis management team.

A common set of criteria and performance indicators for crisis management simulation and optimisation provided by CRISMA modelling system shall enable decision makers and crisis managers to: (1) model possible multi-sectoral crisis scenarios and assess the consequences of an incident, (2) simulate possible impacts resulting from alternative actions, (3) support strategic decisions on capabilities, related investments, reserves, inventories (3) optimise the deployment of resources dedicated to crisis response in-line with the evolvement of a crisis, and (4) to improve action plans for preparedness and response phases of the crisis management.

Long term sustainability and uptake of the CRISMA results shall be assured through recommendations from decision makers and external high-level experts in the CRISMA advisory board, compatibility with ongoing developments in environmental usage area, and design for extensibility through new models, criteria and performance indicators.

Key CRISMA value proposition is the higher security of the European citizens, through improved understanding of the crisis evolvement and the impact of various decisions and actions at disposal of the crisis management on that evolvement, as well as through provision of the IT-support for decision making and auditing of the decisions made during both real and simulated crisis events.'

Introduzione (Teaser)

Large crises demand enhanced preparedness and response. An EU initiative is developing a new simulation-based toolset to assist authorities, crisis managers and other decision makers to mitigate impacts of unexpected catastrophes and natural disasters on human lives and society.

Descrizione progetto (Article)

In crisis management, being able to understand how a disaster is unfolding and the impact of various decisions and actions can often mean the difference between life and death. Typically, complex large-scale crisis scenarios exceeds local resources, and require multi-organisational and multi-national cooperation including humanitarian aid.

With this in mind, the EU-funded http://www.crismaproject.eu/ (CRISMA) (Modelling crisis management for improved action and preparedness) project is designing an integrated planning and decision support toolset that enables simulation and modelling of large-scale man-made and natural disasters and the effects of decision-making on alternative preparedness and response measures.

Thorough understanding of end-user needs as well as existing tools and models have enabled technical requirements analysis and advanced technical development. By the end of the first 27 months, the version 1 of CRISMA Framework and models for decision support, cascading effects, time-dependent vulnerability and economic impact assessment have been tested in five Pilot applications.

The CRISMA Framework facilitates the creation of realistic crisis scenarios and their manipulation by alternative response and mitigation actions. These modelling and simulation technologies enable users to understand the effects of their decisions on the development and final outcome of both real and simulated crisis incidents. Domino and multi-risk effects were also considered.

In the next phase of the project, the team will test and validate the final CRISMA Framework and models in five pilot sites involving various crisis situations.

CRISMA will provide public and private crisis managers and decision makers with the technology to prepare for disasters and identify the most effective measures at their disposal and the expected impact.