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CLIMSEC SIGNED

Climate Variability and Security Threats

Total Cost €

0

EC-Contrib. €

0

Partnership

0

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 CLIMSEC project word cloud

Explore the words cloud of the CLIMSEC project. It provides you a very rough idea of what is the project "CLIMSEC" about.

accounts    geo    representative    climsec    simulations    unitary    gaps    shocks    depending    model    multiple    security    innovative    scholar    broad    proposes    analytical    conclude    conflict    accentuated    dynamics    calendar    frontier    professor    record    rigorous    combine    climate    testable    outcomes    arab    resistance    political    causal    models    qualitative    driving    temporal    statistical    entities    violent    endeavor    context    severe    food    types    conceptual    prio    world    theorizing    central    insecurity    validation    involve    impacts    publication    uprisings    question    scales    force    empirical    notable    recent    claims    trigger    forms    shortcomings    fixed    referenced    actors    spatial    date    overarching    spring    act    led    forecasts    disaggregation    economic    assuming    anomalies    buhaug    droughts    asks    inference    limit    methodological    theoretical    implications    relationship    accomplishment    pattern    failed    variability    halvard    data    instead    conduct    violence   

Project "CLIMSEC" data sheet

The following table provides information about the project.

Coordinator
INSTITUTT FOR FREDSFORSKNING 

Organization address
address: HAUSMANNS GATE 3
city: OSLO
postcode: 186
website: www.prio.no

contact info
title: n.a.
name: n.a.
surname: n.a.
function: n.a.
email: n.a.
telephone: n.a.
fax: n.a.

 Coordinator Country Norway [NO]
 Project website https://www.prio.org/projects/climsec
 Total cost 1˙996˙945 €
 EC max contribution 1˙996˙945 € (100%)
 Programme 1. H2020-EU.1.1. (EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC))
 Code Call ERC-2014-CoG
 Funding Scheme ERC-COG
 Starting year 2015
 Duration (year-month-day) from 2015-09-01   to  2021-06-30

 Partnership

Take a look of project's partnership.

# participants  country  role  EC contrib. [€] 
1    INSTITUTT FOR FREDSFORSKNING NO (OSLO) coordinator 1˙996˙945.00

Map

 Project objective

Recent uprisings across the world have accentuated claims that food insecurity is an important trigger of political violence. Is the Arab Spring representative of a general climate-conflict pattern, where severe droughts and other climate anomalies are a key driving force? Research to date has failed to conclude on a robust relationship but several notable theoretical and methodological shortcomings limit inference. CLIMSEC will address these research gaps. It asks: How does climate variability affect dynamics of political violence? This overarching research question will be addressed through the accomplishment of four key objectives: (1) Investigate how food security impacts of climate variability affect political violence; (2) Investigate how economic impacts of climate variability affect political violence; (3) Conduct short-term forecasts of political violence in response to food and economic shocks; and (4) Develop a comprehensive, testable theoretical model of security implications of climate variability. To achieve these objectives, CLIMSEC will advance the research frontier on theoretical as well as analytical accounts. Central in this endeavor is conceptual and empirical disaggregation. Instead of assuming states and calendar years as unitary and fixed entities, the project proposes causal processes that act at multiple temporal and spatial scales, involve various types of actors, and lead to very different forms of outcomes depending on the context. The empirical component will make innovative use of new geo - referenced data and methods; focus on a broad range of insecurity outcomes, including non-violent resistance; and combine rigorous statistical models with out-of-sample simulations and qualitative case studies for theorizing and validation of key findings. Based at PRIO, the project will be led by Research Professor Halvard Buhaug, a leading scholar on climate change and security with strong publication record and project management experience.

 Publications

year authors and title journal last update
List of publications.
2016 Halvard Buhaug
Climate Change and Conflict: Taking Stock
published pages: , ISSN: 1079-2457, DOI: 10.1515/peps-2016-0034
Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy 22/4 2020-03-20
2016 Nina von Uexkull, Mihai Croicu, Hanne Fjelde, Halvard Buhaug
Civil conflict sensitivity to growing-season drought
published pages: 12391-12396, ISSN: 0027-8424, DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1607542113
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113/44 2020-03-20
2017 Jonas Nordkvelle, Siri Aas Rustad, Monika Salmivalli
Identifying the effect of climate variability on communal conflict through randomization
published pages: 627-639, ISSN: 0165-0009, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1914-3
Climatic Change 141/4 2020-03-20
2016 Andreas F. Tollefsen, Karim Bahgat, Jonas Nordkvelle, and Halvard Buhaug
PRIO-GRID v.2.0 Codebook
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
Codebook 2020-03-20
2016 HÃ¥vard Hegre, Halvard Buhaug, Katherine V Calvin, Jonas Nordkvelle, Stephanie T Waldhoff, Elisabeth Gilmore
Forecasting civil conflict along the shared socioeconomic pathways
published pages: 54002, ISSN: 1748-9326, DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054002
Environmental Research Letters 11/5 2020-03-20
2017 Ole Magnus Theisen
Climate Change and Violence: Insights from Political Science
published pages: 210-221, ISSN: 2198-6061, DOI: 10.1007/s40641-017-0079-5
Current Climate Change Reports 3/4 2020-03-20
2018 Halvard Buhaug
Global Security Challenges of Climate Change
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
Toda Peace Institute Policy Brief 18 2020-03-20
2018 A M Linke, F D W Witmer, J O’Loughlin, J T McCabe, J Tir
The consequences of relocating in response to drought: human mobility and conflict in contemporary Kenya
published pages: 94014, ISSN: 1748-9326, DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aad8cc
Environmental Research Letters 13/9 2020-03-20
2018 Elisabeth A. Gilmore, Lauren Herzer Risi, Elizabeth Tennant, Halvard Buhaug
Bridging Research and Policy on Climate Change and Conflict
published pages: 313-319, ISSN: 2198-6061, DOI: 10.1007/s40641-018-0119-9
Current Climate Change Reports 4/4 2020-03-20

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