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TiPES SIGNED

Tipping Points in the Earth System

Total Cost €

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EC-Contrib. €

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Partnership

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Project "TiPES" data sheet

The following table provides information about the project.

Coordinator
KOBENHAVNS UNIVERSITET 

Organization address
address: NORREGADE 10
city: KOBENHAVN
postcode: 1165
website: www.ku.dk

contact info
title: n.a.
name: n.a.
surname: n.a.
function: n.a.
email: n.a.
telephone: n.a.
fax: n.a.

 Coordinator Country Denmark [DK]
 Total cost 8˙561˙238 €
 EC max contribution 8˙561˙238 € (100%)
 Programme 1. H2020-EU.3.5.1. (Fighting and adapting to climate change)
 Code Call H2020-LC-CLA-2018-2
 Funding Scheme RIA
 Starting year 2019
 Duration (year-month-day) from 2019-09-01   to  2023-08-31

 Partnership

Take a look of project's partnership.

# participants  country  role  EC contrib. [€] 
1    KOBENHAVNS UNIVERSITET DK (KOBENHAVN) coordinator 1˙606˙843.00
2    POTSDAM INSTITUT FUER KLIMAFOLGENFORSCHUNG DE (POTSDAM) participant 1˙569˙750.00
3    UNIVERSITEIT UTRECHT NL (UTRECHT) participant 725˙062.00
4    THE UNIVERSITY OF READING UK (READING) participant 702˙698.00
5    UNITED KINGDOM RESEARCH AND INNOVATION UK (SWINDON) participant 574˙390.00
6    UNIVERSITE CATHOLIQUE DE LOUVAIN BE (LOUVAIN LA NEUVE) participant 545˙845.00
7    THE UNIVERSITY OF EXETER UK (EXETER) participant 524˙606.00
8    UNIVERSITAET BERN CH (BERN) participant 496˙696.00
9    TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITAET MUENCHEN DE (MUENCHEN) participant 419˙206.00
10    CONSIGLIO NAZIONALE DELLE RICERCHE IT (ROMA) participant 256˙777.00
11    STICHTING VU NL (AMSTERDAM) participant 250˙263.00
12    UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL UK (BRISTOL) participant 200˙885.00
13    ECOLE NORMALE SUPERIEURE FR (PARIS CEDEX 05) participant 184˙625.00
14    MET OFFICE UK (EXETER) participant 165˙951.00
15    UNIVERSIDAD COMPLUTENSE DE MADRID ES (MADRID) participant 111˙250.00
16    UNIVERSITETET I TROMSOE - NORGES ARKTISKE UNIVERSITET NO (TROMSO) participant 102˙137.00
17    AMIGO SRL IT (ROMA) participant 76˙000.00
18    INESC TEC - INSTITUTO DE ENGENHARIADE SISTEMAS E COMPUTADORES, TECNOLOGIA E CIENCIA PT (PORTO) participant 48˙250.00

Map

 Project objective

There is rising concern that several subsystems of the Earth may respond highly nonlinearly at critical future levels of anthropogenic forcing; these levels have recently been associated with tipping points (TPs). It is paramount to identify safe operating spaces for humanity and the planet in terms of these critical forcing levels, in order to prevent harmful transitions to alternative, undesirable states of the Earth system. The mechanisms leading to such abrupt transitions are only partly understood, and further research in this regard is urgently needed. State-of-art Earth System Models appear to respond too smoothly at TPs and have difficulties in simulating abrupt transitions that occurred in the planet’s history. TiPES will address these problems from several angles: 1. The project will identify subsystems that may exhibit abrupt transitions, and couplings between them, by focussing on paleoclimatic records and abrupt transitions therein. Novel methods to detect Early Warning Signals of forthcoming TPs, and to make skilful predictions on their basis, will be developed. 2. The potential shortcomings of models in representing TPs will be evaluated; in particular, TiPES will investigate how Bayesian calibration techniques can help enable these models to simulate past abrupt transitions. 3. TiPES will develop a generalized theory of climate sensitivity that accounts for the presence of TPs and feedbacks across various time scales. 4. To define safe operating spaces. TiPES will focus on dynamical system theory and on global stability notions for non-autonomous systems in order to estimate the stability of desirable states. 5. The results obtained by the project will be communicated to policy makers in a manner that facilitates decisions and their implementation. TiPES will develop formal approaches to define the socioeconomic risks of crossing TPs, and to derive decision strategies to keep anthropogenic forcing below levels where abrupt transitions may occur.

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