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CONSTRAIN SIGNED

Constraining uncertainty of multi decadal climate projections

Total Cost €

EC-Contrib. €

Partnership

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CONSTRAIN project word cloud

Explore the words cloud of the CONSTRAIN project. It provides you a very rough idea of what is the project "CONSTRAIN" about.

thereby intercomparison warming global scenarios temperature circulation learning physical precipitation natural advantage 2021 observations projections gap scientific characterisation combined science surface simulations 2023 resolution international mid atmospheric mitigation cmip6 significantly phases strategy broad emulators date constrain operationalise stocktake capability radiative fourth report feedbacks resolved climate leverage cement until variability unfccc world decisions relationship model constrained levels impacts forcing policy benefit erc sensitivity base integrations sixth translation full gaps regional ocean emission decadal committed century ipcc integrate human cloud leader

Project "CONSTRAIN" data sheet

The following table provides information about the project.

Coordinator	UNIVERSITY OF LEEDS Organization address address: WOODHOUSE LANE city: LEEDS postcode: LS2 9JT website: www.leeds.ac.uk contact info title: n.a. name: n.a. surname: n.a. function: n.a. email: n.a. telephone: n.a. fax: n.a.
Coordinator Country	United Kingdom [UK]
Total cost	7˙999˙803 €
EC max contribution	7˙999˙803 € (100%)
Programme	1. H2020-EU.3.5.1. (Fighting and adapting to climate change)
Code Call	H2020-LC-CLA-2018-2
Funding Scheme	RIA
Starting year	2019
Duration (year-month-day)	from 2019-07-01 to 2023-06-30

Partnership

Take a look of project's partnership.

#	participants	country	role	EC contrib. [€]
1	UNIVERSITY OF LEEDS UNIVERSITY OF LEEDS Organization address address: WOODHOUSE LANE city: LEEDS postcode: LS2 9JT website: www.leeds.ac.uk contact info title: n.a. name: n.a. surname: n.a. function: n.a. email: n.a. telephone: n.a. fax: n.a.	UK (LEEDS)	coordinator	1˙893˙367.00
2	CENTRE NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE SCIENTIFIQUE CNRS CENTRE NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE SCIENTIFIQUE CNRS Organization address address: RUE MICHEL ANGE 3 city: PARIS postcode: 75794 website: www.cnrs.fr contact info title: n.a. name: n.a. surname: n.a. function: n.a. email: n.a. telephone: n.a. fax: n.a.	FR (PARIS)	participant	797˙547.00
3	MAX-PLANCK-GESELLSCHAFT ZUR FORDERUNG DER WISSENSCHAFTEN EV MAX-PLANCK-GESELLSCHAFT ZUR FORDERUNG DER WISSENSCHAFTEN EV Organization address address: HOFGARTENSTRASSE 8 city: MUENCHEN postcode: 80539 website: n.a. contact info title: n.a. name: n.a. surname: n.a. function: n.a. email: n.a. telephone: n.a. fax: n.a.	DE (MUENCHEN)	participant	757˙983.00
4	CICERO SENTER KLIMAFORSKNING STIFTELSE CICERO SENTER KLIMAFORSKNING STIFTELSE Organization address address: Gaustadallèen 21 city: Oslo postcode: 349 website: www.cicero.uio.no contact info title: n.a. name: n.a. surname: n.a. function: n.a. email: n.a. telephone: n.a. fax: n.a.	NO (Oslo)	participant	726˙497.00
5	METEO-FRANCE METEO-FRANCE Organization address address: AVENUE DE PARIS 73 city: SAINT MANDE CEDEX postcode: 94165 website: www.meteo.fr contact info title: n.a. name: n.a. surname: n.a. function: n.a. email: n.a. telephone: n.a. fax: n.a.	FR (SAINT MANDE CEDEX)	participant	576˙417.00
6	EIDGENOESSISCHE TECHNISCHE HOCHSCHULE ZUERICH EIDGENOESSISCHE TECHNISCHE HOCHSCHULE ZUERICH Organization address address: Raemistrasse 101 city: ZUERICH postcode: 8092 website: https://www.ethz.ch/de.html contact info title: n.a. name: n.a. surname: n.a. function: n.a. email: n.a. telephone: n.a. fax: n.a.	CH (ZUERICH)	participant	556˙699.00
7	MET OFFICE MET OFFICE Organization address address: FITZROY ROAD city: EXETER postcode: EX1 3PB website: www.metoffice.gov.uk contact info title: n.a. name: n.a. surname: n.a. function: n.a. email: n.a. telephone: n.a. fax: n.a.	UK (EXETER)	participant	509˙161.00
8	CLIMATE ANALYTICS GMBH CLIMATE ANALYTICS GMBH Organization address address: RITTERSTRASSE 3 city: BERLIN postcode: 10969 website: n.a. contact info title: n.a. name: n.a. surname: n.a. function: n.a. email: n.a. telephone: n.a. fax: n.a.	DE (BERLIN)	participant	455˙025.00
9	STOCKHOLMS UNIVERSITET STOCKHOLMS UNIVERSITET Organization address address: UNIVERSITETSVAGEN 10 city: STOCKHOLM postcode: 10691 website: www.su.se contact info title: n.a. name: n.a. surname: n.a. function: n.a. email: n.a. telephone: n.a. fax: n.a.	SE (STOCKHOLM)	participant	437˙215.00
10	UNIVERSITAET LEIPZIG UNIVERSITAET LEIPZIG Organization address address: RITTERSTRASSE 26 city: LEIPZIG postcode: 4109 website: www.uni-Ieipzig.de contact info title: n.a. name: n.a. surname: n.a. function: n.a. email: n.a. telephone: n.a. fax: n.a.	DE (LEIPZIG)	participant	398˙734.00
11	IMPERIAL COLLEGE OF SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND MEDICINE IMPERIAL COLLEGE OF SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND MEDICINE Organization address address: SOUTH KENSINGTON CAMPUS EXHIBITION ROAD city: LONDON postcode: SW7 2AZ website: http://www.imperial.ac.uk/ contact info title: n.a. name: n.a. surname: n.a. function: n.a. email: n.a. telephone: n.a. fax: n.a.	UK (LONDON)	participant	397˙089.00
12	TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITEIT DELFT TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITEIT DELFT Organization address address: STEVINWEG 1 city: DELFT postcode: 2628 CN website: www.tudelft.nl contact info title: n.a. name: n.a. surname: n.a. function: n.a. email: n.a. telephone: n.a. fax: n.a.	NL (DELFT)	participant	302˙083.00
13	WEIZMANN INSTITUTE OF SCIENCE WEIZMANN INSTITUTE OF SCIENCE Organization address address: HERZL STREET 234 city: REHOVOT postcode: 7610001 website: www.weizmann.ac.il contact info title: n.a. name: n.a. surname: n.a. function: n.a. email: n.a. telephone: n.a. fax: n.a.	IL (REHOVOT)	participant	139˙234.00
14	INTERNATIONALES INSTITUT FUER ANGEWANDTE SYSTEMANALYSE INTERNATIONALES INSTITUT FUER ANGEWANDTE SYSTEMANALYSE Organization address address: Schlossplatz 1 city: LAXENBURG postcode: 2361 website: www.iiasa.ac.at contact info title: n.a. name: n.a. surname: n.a. function: n.a. email: n.a. telephone: n.a. fax: n.a.	AT (LAXENBURG)	participant	52˙745.00

Map

Project objective

CONSTRAIN will focus research on three climate science knowledge gaps and a policy-facing knowledge gap that can be resolved over the next 4-5 years to significantly improve our understanding of how natural and human factors affect multi-decadal regional climate change. This will cement EU science as the world-leader in understanding climate sensitivity and climate variability, deliver significantly improved capability to make climate projections for the next 20-50 years, and provide up-to-date scientific evidence for international climate policy in two phases: Phase 1 will deliver a timely characterisation of physical science uncertainty and how it affects projections and committed levels of warming to the 2021 IPCC sixth assessment report; Phase 2 will deliver constrained surface temperature projections for the 2023 UNFCCC Global Stocktake. CONSTRAIN will take full advantage of climate model integrations from the sixth Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) and will leverage existing H2020 and ERC projects. Novel CMIP6 analyses will be combined with dedicated high resolution simulations and new observations to address identified knowledge gaps on radiative forcing, cloud feedbacks and the relationship between ocean variability and atmospheric change. A fourth identified knowledge gap is the effective translation of new physical science understanding into an improved evidence base for policy decisions. CONSTRAIN will address this by developing climate model emulators that integrate and operationalise learning from across the consortium to provide new capability to assess impacts of climate change under a broad range of emission scenarios. We will focus on the expected spatially resolved decadal changes until mid-century providing robust evidence on climate sensitivity, and regional temperature, precipitation and circulation changes, thereby enabling evidence-based policy decisions that will directly benefit the EU's adaptation and mitigation strategy.

Publications

List of publications.
year	authors and title	journal	last update
2020	M. Michou, P. Nabat, D. Saintâ€Martin, J. Bock, B. Decharme, M. Mallet, R. Roehrig, R. SÃ©fÃ©rian, S. SÃ©nÃ©si, A. Voldoire Presentâ€Day and Historical Aerosol and Ozone Characteristics in CNRM CMIP6 Simulations published pages: , ISSN: 1942-2466, DOI: 10.1029/2019ms001816	Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 12/1	2020-04-24
2020	Yu Yeung Scott Yiu, Amanda C. Maycock The linearity of the El NiÃ±o teleconnection to the Amundsen Sea region published pages: , ISSN: 0035-9009, DOI: 10.1002/qj.3731	Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society	2020-04-24
2020	Katarzyna B. Tokarska, Martin B. Stolpe, Sebastian Sippel, Erich M. Fischer, Christopher J. Smith, Flavio Lehner, Reto Knutti Past warming trend constrains future warming in CMIP6 models published pages: eaaz9549, ISSN: 2375-2548, DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aaz9549	Science Advances 6/12	2020-04-24
2019	Katarzyna B. Tokarska, Kirsten Zickfeld, Joeri Rogelj Path Independence of Carbon Budgets When Meeting a Stringent Global Mean Temperature Target After an Overshoot published pages: 1283-1295, ISSN: 2328-4277, DOI: 10.1029/2019EF001312	Earth\'s Future 7/12	2020-04-24
2019	Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Alexander Nauels, Michiel Schaeffer, William Hare, Joeri Rogelj Inconsistencies when applying novel metrics for emissions accounting to the Paris agreement published pages: 124055, ISSN: 1748-9326, DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab56e7	Environmental Research Letters 14/12	2020-04-24
2019	Joeri Rogelj, Piers M. Forster, Elmar Kriegler, Christopher J. Smith, Roland SÃ©fÃ©rian Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets published pages: 335-342, ISSN: 0028-0836, DOI: 10.1038/s41586-019-1368-z	Nature 571/7765	2020-04-24
2019	Jessica Vial, Raphaela Vogel, Sandrine Bony, Bjorn Stevens, David M. Winker, Xia Cai, Cathy Hohenegger, Ann Kristin Naumann, HÃ©lÃ¨ne Brogniez A New Look at the Daily Cycle of Trade Wind Cumuli published pages: 3148-3166, ISSN: 1942-2466, DOI: 10.1029/2019MS001746	Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 11/10	2020-04-24
2019	Diego JimÃ©nez-de-la-Cuesta, Thorsten Mauritsen Emergent constraints on Earthâ€™s transient and equilibrium response to doubled CO2 from post-1970s global warming published pages: 902-905, ISSN: 1752-0894, DOI: 10.1038/s41561-019-0463-y	Nature Geoscience 12/11	2020-04-24
2019	Katarzyna B. Tokarska, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Joeri Rogelj, Martin B. Stolpe, H. Damon Matthews, Peter Pfleiderer, Nathan P. Gillett Recommended temperature metrics for carbon budget estimates, model evaluation and climate policy published pages: 964-971, ISSN: 1752-0894, DOI: 10.1038/s41561-019-0493-5	Nature Geoscience 12/12	2020-04-24
2019	Chris D. Jones, Thomas L. FrÃ¶licher, Charles Koven, Andrew H. MacDougall, H. Damon Matthews, Kirsten Zickfeld, Joeri Rogelj, Katarzyna B. Tokarska, Nathan P. Gillett, Tatiana Ilyina, Malte Meinshausen, Nadine Mengis, Roland SÃ©fÃ©rian, Michael Eby, Friedrich A. Burger The Zero Emissions Commitment Model Intercomparison Project (ZECMIP) contribution to C4MIP: quantifying committed climate changes following zero carbon emissions published pages: 4375-4385, ISSN: 1991-9603, DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-4375-2019	Geoscientific Model Development 12/10	2020-04-24

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