TITAN

Transition into the Anthropocene: learning about the climate system from the 19th and early 20th century

 Coordinatore THE UNIVERSITY OF EDINBURGH 

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 Nazionalità Coordinatore United Kingdom [UK]
 Totale costo 2˙445˙546 €
 EC contributo 2˙445˙546 €
 Programma FP7-IDEAS-ERC
Specific programme: "Ideas" implementing the Seventh Framework Programme of the European Community for research, technological development and demonstration activities (2007 to 2013)
 Code Call ERC-2012-ADG_20120216
 Funding Scheme ERC-AG
 Anno di inizio 2013
 Periodo (anno-mese-giorno) 2013-02-01   -   2018-01-31

 Partecipanti

# participant  country  role  EC contrib. [€] 
1    THE CHANCELLOR, MASTERS AND SCHOLARS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD

 Organization address address: University Offices, Wellington Square
city: OXFORD
postcode: OX1 2JD

contact info
Titolo: Ms.
Nome: Linda
Cognome: Pialek
Email: send email
Telefono: +44 1865 289800
Fax: +44 1865 289801

UK (OXFORD) beneficiary 433˙301.00
2    THE UNIVERSITY OF EDINBURGH

 Organization address address: OLD COLLEGE, SOUTH BRIDGE
city: EDINBURGH
postcode: EH8 9YL

contact info
Titolo: Ms.
Nome: Angela
Cognome: Noble
Email: send email
Telefono: +44 131 650 9024

UK (EDINBURGH) hostInstitution 2˙012˙245.00
3    THE UNIVERSITY OF EDINBURGH

 Organization address address: OLD COLLEGE, SOUTH BRIDGE
city: EDINBURGH
postcode: EH8 9YL

contact info
Titolo: Prof.
Nome: Gabriele Clarissa
Cognome: Hegerl
Email: send email
Telefono: +44 131 651 9092
Fax: +44 131 668 3184

UK (EDINBURGH) hostInstitution 2˙012˙245.00

Mappa


 Word cloud

Esplora la "nuvola delle parole (Word Cloud) per avere un'idea di massima del progetto.

period    fingerprints    atmospheric    climate    sea    simulations    century    data    warming    model    temperature    decades    estimate    causes    drivers    circulation    natural       variability    ice    anthropocene    external    precipitation   

 Obiettivo del progetto (Objective)

'The research proposed here will use a novel and fully-integrated data-modelling approach to provide a step-change in our understanding of the nature and drivers of climate variability and change on the societally-relevant timescales of decades to centuries. Identifying the causes of observed changes in climate requires an understanding of the natural, internally generated variability of the climate system, and of the response of climate to external influences. Our present knowledge is heavily weighted towards changes observed over the recent few decades. This proposal focuses on the early Anthropocene, namely the 19th through to the early 20th century. This period covers the emergence from an anomalously cold period, the so-called ‘Little Ice Age’, and shows periods of warming including the still enigmatic early 20th century warming. Newly available observational data now make it possible to analyze this period in detail. ‘Fingerprints’ for climate changes in response to external drivers, such as changes in atmospheric composition, solar radiation, and volcanism will be used to estimate the contribution by these factors to observed changes over the 19th and early 20th century. These fingerprints will be based on a large, multi-model ensemble of climate model simulations that is presently becoming available. Changes in observed temperature, sea ice variations, and precipitation will be linked to the state of the atmospheric circulation. Targeted model simulations will help to determine the role of sea surface temperature patterns and atmospheric and oceanic circulation in setting temperature records in the 1930s and 1940s. The result will be a synthesis of the causes of climate change over the early Anthropocene, an improved estimate of the natural variability of climate, probabilistic estimates of the climate’s transient sensitivity to greenhouse gas increases, and improved understanding of the response of sea ice, precipitation, and temperature extremes.'

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