FORESIGHT
Do Forecasts Matter? Early Warnings and the Prevention of Armed Conflict
| Coordinatore | KING'S COLLEGE LONDON
Spiacenti, non ci sono informazioni su questo coordinatore. Contattare Fabio per maggiori infomrazioni, grazie. |
| Nazionalità Coordinatore | United Kingdom [UK] |
| Totale costo | 754˙077 € |
| EC contributo | 754˙077 € |
| Programma | FP7-IDEAS-ERC
Specific programme: "Ideas" implementing the Seventh Framework Programme of the European Community for research, technological development and demonstration activities (2007 to 2013) |
| Code Call | ERC-2007-StG |
| Funding Scheme | ERC-SG |
| Anno di inizio | 2008 |
| Periodo (anno-mese-giorno) | 2008-09-01 - 2011-10-31 |
Partecipanti
| # | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
KING'S COLLEGE LONDON
Organization address
address: Strand contact info |
UK (LONDON) | hostInstitution | 0.00 |
| 2 |
KING'S COLLEGE LONDON
Organization address
address: Strand contact info |
UK (LONDON) | hostInstitution | 0.00 |
Mappa
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Obiettivo del progetto (Objective)
'What impact do forecasts have on political action? How are they communicated, perceived and used in order to prevent harmful events in the future? There are few policy areas as dependent on good forecasts as efforts aimed at preventing intra-state violent conflicts. Both practitioners and scholars agree that early, appropriate and sustained action on the part of various international players can help to avoid or at least alleviate many of the harmful consequences. Preventing the outbreak of such conflicts has increasingly become a priority objective of the European Union and its most influential member states. But there is a curious gap in the literature with respect to the exact linkage between early warning and political response: under what conditions do forecasts of impending conflicts lead to political action? The first objective of the project is to better understand the interplay of communication and political perception of early warnings about impending intra-state armed conflict. In a second step, the project will compare the findings about early warnings regarding armed conflict to insights about the impact of forecasts in other policy-areas such as adjusting to impending environmental and economic crises. Thus, the project aims to contribute to improving public policy by analysing the interplay of forecasting, advocacy and preventive decision-making.'