PREVENTING_CONFLICTS

"Understanding and preventing conflicts: on the causes of social conflicts, and alternative institutional designs for their prevention"

 Coordinatore UNIVERSIDAD POMPEU FABRA 

Spiacenti, non ci sono informazioni su questo coordinatore. Contattare Fabio per maggiori infomrazioni, grazie.

 Nazionalità Coordinatore Spain [ES]
 Totale costo 1˙330˙000 €
 EC contributo 1˙330˙000 €
 Programma FP7-IDEAS-ERC
Specific programme: "Ideas" implementing the Seventh Framework Programme of the European Community for research, technological development and demonstration activities (2007 to 2013)
 Code Call ERC-2007-StG
 Funding Scheme ERC-SG
 Anno di inizio 2008
 Periodo (anno-mese-giorno) 2008-07-01   -   2013-06-30

 Partecipanti

# participant  country  role  EC contrib. [€] 
1    UNIVERSIDAD POMPEU FABRA

 Organization address address: PLACA DE LA MERCE 10-12
city: BARCELONA
postcode: 8002

contact info
Titolo: Ms.
Nome: Eva
Cognome: Martin
Email: send email
Telefono: 34935422140
Fax: 34935421440

ES (BARCELONA) hostInstitution 0.00
2    UNIVERSIDAD POMPEU FABRA

 Organization address address: PLACA DE LA MERCE 10-12
city: BARCELONA
postcode: 8002

contact info
Titolo: Prof.
Nome: Marta
Cognome: Reynal-Querol
Email: send email
Telefono: -5422649
Fax: -5421805

ES (BARCELONA) hostInstitution 0.00

Mappa


 Word cloud

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regressions    institutional    social    wars    missing    prevent    poverty    mechanisms    conflicts    identification    civil    determinants    political    consensus    causes   

 Obiettivo del progetto (Objective)

'The research project will use theoretical models and empirical techniques to explore the causes, consequences, and prevention mechanisms of conflicts. The aim is to determine the basic elements that make countries more prone to social conflicts and then identify a set of feasible policies to prevent future episodes of violence. The project considers the causes and the propagation mechanisms of social conflicts of different intensity. The main objective of the project is to the study the institutional designs that may prevent, or mitigate, such social conflicts. Therefore, the analysis of economic institutions (such as property rights, etc.), political institutions and structure (democracy, decentralization, political systems, etc.), and the type of political leaders, that can help to prevent, conflict in potentially conflictive societies. From a methodological perspective, the project proposes to overcome some statistical pitfalls present in most of the previous literature on the determinants of civil wars and conflicts. The use of simple linear regressions, or a probit/logit specification, imposes very strong identification conditions that are likely to be violated. The current consensus, which emerges from those analyses, is that poverty is the single, most important determinant of civil wars. This result could be an artifact of simultaneity problems: the incidence of civil wars and poverty may be driven by the same determinants, some of which are probably missing. We propose to check the robustness of this consensus idea, and the importance of the institutional design, using other econometric procedures (instrumental variables and matching methods) which are subject to weaker identification conditions than the traditional regressions. Finally, we plan to investigate methods to deal with the missing data problem that plague the study of the determinants of civil wars.'

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