SESTI

Scanning for Emerging Science and Technology Issues

Coordinatore	NEDERLANDSE ORGANISATIE VOOR TOEGEPAST NATUURWETENSCHAPPELIJK ONDERZOEK TNO    more  Organization address address: Schoemakerstraat 97 city: DEN HAAG postcode: 2600 JA contact info Titolo: Ms. Nome: Elly Cognome: Van Den Akker-Blaazer Email: send email Telefono: +31 88 8667379 Fax: +31 88 8667057
Nazionalità Coordinatore	Netherlands [NL]
Sito del progetto	http://sesti.info/
Totale costo	733˙733 €
EC contributo	628˙978 €
Programma	FP7-SSH Specific Programme "Cooperation": Socio-economic Sciences and Humanities
Code Call	FP7-SSH-2007-1
Funding Scheme	CP-FP
Anno di inizio	2008
Periodo (anno-mese-giorno)	2008-10-01   -   2011-06-30

 Partecipanti

#	participant	country	role	EC contrib. [€]
1	NEDERLANDSE ORGANISATIE VOOR TOEGEPAST NATUURWETENSCHAPPELIJK ONDERZOEK TNO  Organization address address: Schoemakerstraat 97 city: DEN HAAG postcode: 2600 JA contact info Titolo: Ms. Nome: Elly Cognome: Van Den Akker-Blaazer Email: send email Telefono: +31 88 8667379 Fax: +31 88 8667057	NL (DEN HAAG)	coordinator	238˙814.00
2	THE UNIVERSITY OF MANCHESTER  Organization address address: OXFORD ROAD city: MANCHESTER postcode: M13 9PL contact info Titolo: Ms. Nome: Liz Cognome: Fay Email: send email Telefono: +44 1612757114 Fax: +44 1612752445	UK (MANCHESTER)	participant	115˙957.00
3	AIT Austrian Institute of Technology GmbH  Organization address address: Donau-City-Strasse 1 city: WIEN postcode: 1220 contact info Titolo: Ms. Nome: Karin Cognome: Bichler Email: send email Telefono: +43 50550 4560 Fax: +43 50550 4599	AT (WIEN)	participant	99˙154.00
4	JRC -JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE- EUROPEAN COMMISSION  Organization address address: Rue de la Loi 200 city: BRUSSELS postcode: 1049 contact info Titolo: Mr. Nome: Vincenzo Cognome: Cardarelli Email: send email Telefono: +34 954 488389 Fax: +34 954 488300	BE (BRUSSELS)	participant	80˙598.00
5	"MINISTERIE VAN ONDERWIJS, CULTUUR EN WETENSCHAP"  Organization address address: Rijnstraat 50 city: DEN HAAG postcode: 2500 BJ contact info Titolo: Mr. Nome: Victor Cognome: Van Rij Email: send email Telefono: +31 70 4122036 Fax: +31 70 4123456	NL (DEN HAAG)	participant	62˙203.00
6	OFFICE OF THE PRIME MINISTER  Organization address address: ST PAUL STREET city: VALLETTA postcode: VLT1210 contact info Titolo: Dr. Nome: Jennifer Cognome: Cassingena Harper Email: send email Telefono: +356 2360 2118 Fax: +356 2166 0341	MT (VALLETTA)	participant	32˙252.00

Mappa

 Word cloud

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 Obiettivo del progetto (Objective)

'Today’s societal developments are often influenced by improbable events with high impact. Recent examples are the “cartoon quarrel” and developments impacting energy security. These events are preceded by “weak signals” which are only partially discussed in policy, if at all, and rarely acted upon. The increasing complexity and uncertainty is reflected in the growing demand for tools for anticipatory intelligence, such as scenario analyses, Delphis and modelling and simulation tools. Several countries, Finland, UK and the Netherlands, have initiated horizon scanning projects to identify disruptive events that are not on the RADAR of policy yet. The overall goal of the project is to contribute to the development of an effective system for the early identification of weak signals of emerging issues. For that a weak signals pool, integrating several scanning tools in a wiki to collect and disseminate the information, will be set-up. Additional to its European focus, potential links with national actors and platforms are planned, making use of existing networks such as ForSociety (several of the project members are ForSociety members), to feed the project outputs into European and national policy processes. Beneath this overriding goal is the desire to initiate momentum at national and European level to pro-actively address emerging issues. Next to its practical goals, this project also aims at developing and improving new tools and methods for weak signals of emerging issues to improve detection and the operationalisation of methods using a case oriented approach to contribute to the overall Bluesky call issues. To exploit resources most effectively, this project builds on existing structures and competencies in foresight and horizon scanning in place at national level (above examples), and intends to add value by by improving existing resources, providing new strategic information and creating synergies exploiting complementarities between initiatives.'

Introduzione (Teaser)

There is a growing demand for tools enabling the anticipation of destructive scenarios like the recent credit crunch. An EU initiative developed an approach to assist in pre-empting vital future events.

Descrizione progetto (Article)

Modern society is influenced by high-impact, yet seemingly improbable events, like the energy crisis. One example of an emerging issue is the increase in life expectancy. As these issues arise, there might be clues, or so-called weak signals, that researchers could use to anticipate future scenarios.

Funded by the EU, the 'Scanning for emerging science and technology issues' (http://www.sesti.info (SESTI)) project developed an effective system allowing for the early identification of such weak signals. The system enables policymakers to better identify problems before they occur.

SESTI centred on emerging social, sustainability, health and energy issues. Researchers scanned for weak signals online to devise techniques and approaches. The scanning helped to determine weak signals and to assess their effectiveness for policymakers.

The results from the scanning formed the basis for three workshops in the fields of cognitive enhancement, health care and energy. A number of reports followed on emerging issues in each domain. At one of the workshops, the project team established that signal scanning was complex and needed further exploration. This led to an additional workshop to look into new methodological approaches.

Following the methodological workshop, researchers determined that the intellectual capacity of humans is essential in scanning emerging issues. Automated tools are not able to understand the societal contexts that go into identifying weak signals. The whole system is thus ultimately influenced by the insights, interests and requirements of those running it.

SESTI outcomes will help governments and decision makers to better anticipate fundamental future issues. The project should also enable EU citizens to tackle societal problems in a proactive manner.